News Update: NFL Championship Sunday Bets – Eagles vs Commanders, Chiefs vs Bills….See More

NFL Championship Sunday: Commanders vs. Eagles, Bills vs. Chiefs – Previews, Predictions, and Betting Insights

Get ready for a thrilling NFL Sunday as the Washington Commanders march into hostile territory to take on the Philadelphia Eagles at Lincoln Financial Field at 2 PM CT. The Eagles, always tough at home, will look to soar past a scrappy Commanders squad that’s eager to pull off another upset victory. Can Washington pull off the upset, or will Saquon Barkley and company remind everyone why they run this division?

Later, the Buffalo Bills head to Arrowhead Stadium for a 5:30 PM CT showdown with the Kansas City Chiefs in a matchup that’s quickly becoming a modern rivalry. Josh Allen and Patrick Mahomes have delivered fireworks every time they meet, and with a trip to the Super Bowl on the line, expect another intense game. Will the Bills finally conquer Arrowhead, or will Mahomes and the Chiefs add another chapter to their modern dynasty? Buckle up—this Sunday’s action is set to deliver.

For bettors, these matchups offer plenty of intrigue and opportunity. With point spreads, totals, and player props in play, there’s value to be found if you know where to look. Whether you’re backing the Birds to defend their nest or eyeing an upset in Kansas City, there’s something for anyone to bet on. Let’s dive in.

Washington Commanders ML & Buffalo Bills ML (+614 BetMGM)

This was the best line I could find before any boosts were applied, but be sure to check the books for any available boosts—there are plenty on a day like today. More than anything, I just want to enjoy Championship Sunday and root for the teams I want to see win.

Unless you’re a Chiefs fan, I doubt you’re eager to see them return to the Super Bowl yet again and attempt a three-peat. The Eagles have also made two appearances over the last seven seasons, and a Super Bowl 57 rematch between the Chiefs and Eagles doesn’t exactly excite me. However, while I’m not thrilled about a repeat of last year’s Super Bowl, I am intrigued by the possibility of a Super Bowl 26 rematch from 1992. That was the last time the Washington Commanders (then the Washington Redskins) made the Super Bowl, defeating the Buffalo Bills 37-24. The Bills’ last appearance was in 1994, and their return would certainly satisfy my craving for some fresh faces in the big game.

The Chiefs are only 1.5-point favorites today, which suggests that oddsmakers believe the Bills would be favored on a neutral field. Since this game is being played in Kansas City, where Arrowhead Stadium provides a terrific home-field advantage, I’m honestly surprised the line is this tight. To me, that signals that oddsmakers think this could finally be the time the Bills overcome the team that has sent them home in three of the last four seasons.

As for the Commanders, they’ve already taken down the NFC-favorite Lions on the road and split their regular-season meetings with the Eagles. Their defense is a major concern, especially against the NFL’s leading rusher, Saquon Barkley. Washington has allowed the third-most rushing yards per game this season (138.9), but they also boast the fourth-highest scoring offense (29.1 points per game). Giving six points to any team in an NFC Championship game is a lot, but there’s enough here to make me believe they have a real shot.

Jayden Daniels Over 217.5 Passing Yards (-114 BetRivers)
Shoutout to BetRivers for this awesome line. Daniels’ over/under for passing yards is set at 221.5 or higher on nearly every other sportsbook, so I couldn’t pass up the bargain when I saw it.

Excluding the Week 18 game against the Cowboys, where Daniels played only a portion before resting, he has thrown for at least 226 yards in six of his last seven games. The Eagles allowed the fewest passing yards per attempt this season (5.6), but Daniels still managed to throw for 258 yards and five touchdowns in their last meeting. That game was at home, while this one is on the road, and there are some early wind concerns. However, I still believe the Commanders’ best chance at victory is putting the ball in Jayden Daniels’ hands. If the Eagles win and cover the six-point spread, that might work in our favor, as the Commanders will likely need to throw a lot late while playing from behind.

Dallas Goedert Over 37.5 Receiving Yards (-110 FanDuel)
In the last section, I mentioned Saquon Barkley’s impressive season and the Commanders’ struggles against the run. Both were evident in each matchup between these teams during the regular season. Barkley rushed for at least 146 yards and two touchdowns in both games. While he’s sure to get his fair share again today, I expect the Commanders to stack the box in an attempt to force the Eagles to beat them through the air with Jalen Hurts. That brings me to Goedert, especially as a reliable safety blanket.

He has surpassed this line in each of the last three games. Goedert also caught five passes for 61 yards in his lone regular-season matchup against the Commanders, including a 32-yard reception. My only concern is his ankle injury, which forced him to miss practice on Wednesday and Thursday. That said, he was a full participant on Friday, so I’m assuming the missed practices were more about ensuring he’s closer to 100 percent rather than a real issue.

Keon Coleman Over 20.5 Receiving Yards (-110 FanDuel)
When looking at Coleman’s props, I considered taking the over on 1.5 receptions—and I still might—but his regular-season hit rate for that line was just over 53%, compared to an 84% hit rate for surpassing 20 receiving yards. Coleman is used and targeted sporadically, but when he is, it’s typically for big gains. He also didn’t play in the Bills-Chiefs Week 11 matchup due to injury, which adds a new wrinkle for Joe Brady to exploit. Chiefs defensive coordinator Steve Spagnuolo may not be as focused on him, especially with Khalil Shakir and Dalton Kincaid commanding most of the attention.